Bankruptcy Brief

Catholic Church Shields $2 Billion in Assets to Limit Abuse Payouts

ABI Bankruptcy Brief

January 9, 2020

 
ABI Bankruptcy Brief
 
 
 
 
NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Catholic Church Shields $2 Billion in Assets to Limit Abuse Payouts
A Bloomberg Businessweek review of court filings by lawyers for churches and victims in the past 15 years shows that the U.S. Catholic Church has shielded more than $2 billion in assets from abuse victims in diocesan bankruptcies. “The survivors should have gotten that money, and they didn’t,” says Terry McKiernan, president of BishopAccountability.org. The unfolding of one diocese’s bankruptcy provides a road map for what may come as more go this route. The chapter 11 filing of the Archdiocese in Santa Fe shows how easy and routine it is to reconfigure a balance sheet. The archdiocese was facing a few dozen clergy abuse suits when it filed in December 2018, saying that it was too poor to defend itself. The number rose to about 375 by the June 2019 deadline that the bankruptcy court had set for victims to file claims. In court papers, the archdiocese reported owning $49 million in real estate, cash, and investments. By contrast, the church’s 1951 incorporation papers put its estimated value at $40 million, or $396 million in today’s dollars. To arrive at that $49 million figure, church leaders said at least $178 million in cash and property associated with the archdiocese was owned by parishes or held in a trust or foundation and thus wasn’t eligible for inclusion in the estate. James Stang, lead lawyer for the alleged clergy abuse victims in the bankruptcy, wrote in a June court filing that the incorporations and transfers were made with the intent to “hinder, delay, or defraud” the claimants. J. Ford Elsaesser, an archdiocese lawyer, disputes accusations that the archdiocese shuffled assets to keep money from claimants. The relationship between the church and its parishes is like that between an adult child and an elderly parent who can no longer handle his affairs, he says: “The property is yours in name, but it’s not your money.” He says that bankruptcy is the best venue for settling large numbers of abuse claims in part because it makes for a fairer distribution of finite church assets, with all victims sharing the money in an orderly way instead of it being quickly scooped up by victims who file claims first.

Analysis: A Borrower Will Be 114 When Bonds Backed by Her Student Loans Mature

Julie Chinnock is 50 years old and owes about $250,000 in student loans. She was happy to get a new payment plan that lowered her monthly bill, but the holders of two bonds backed by her loans were probably less cheerful, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis. The two bonds were due in 2043 and 2054, but Chinnock and other borrowers were paying less each month under a new government plan that tied debt payments to income. Because borrowers were taking longer to pay off their loans, there was a risk the bonds backed by the loans wouldn’t be paid off in time. Bond-rating firms were watching and getting ready to downgrade the highly rated bonds, potentially causing losses for investors. The issuer of the bonds and the investors who owned them hatched a plan to avoid the downgrades. Their solution: Make sure the bonds were paid off in time by extending their maturity dates by decades. The bonds that include a big chunk of Chinnock’s loans now mature in 2083, when she will turn 114. Today, the bonds are rated triple-A. Altogether, issuers have extended maturities on about $11.5 billion of outstanding bonds backed by mostly older-vintage student loans, extending maturity dates by as much as 54 years. (Subscription required.)

Commentary: Public Pensions Throw Their Weight Around in Private Debt

The hedge-fund industry swelled over the past two decades in no small part because of eager pension managers, according to a Bloomberg commentary. In the U.S. alone, state and local retirement funds have $4.57 trillion in assets. Local officials banked on star investors delivering outsized gains to help the retirement funds meet their lofty annual return benchmarks, which in some cases exceeded 7 percent. According to data from Pew Charitable Trusts, U.S. state pension funds had a 26 percent allocation to alternative investments in 2016, up from just 11 percent in 2006. Of course, with more hedge funds came fewer ways for them to profit — and pensions took notice. In September 2014, the California Public Employees’ Retirement System rocked Wall Street by announcing that it would divest the entire $4 billion it had across 24 hedge funds and six hedge funds of funds. In 2016, New Jersey’s pension fund cut its $9 billion hedge-fund allocation in half and New York City’s retirement fund for civil employees exited its $1.5 billion portfolio. More than 4,000 hedge funds have been liquidated in the past five years. With even some of the most well-known managers calling it quits, hedge funds are clearly in retreat. The market for private debt and direct lending is trending in precisely the opposite direction. Managers are raising money hand over fist, as they have in each of the past few years. Assets in private-credit strategies now total more than $800 billion — doubling from 2012 and up from less than $100 billion in 2005.

Tense Time for Buyers of Riskier Corporate Loans

The market for low-rated corporate loans has suffered sharp declines in recent months, a sign of growing aversion to earnings shortfalls or other strains at indebted companies, the Wall Street Journal reported. In the U.S. at the start of December, some 2.5 percent of leveraged loans were trading at less than 70 percent of face value, the most since September 2016, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence’s LCD, the loan market research service. Analysts and investors blame the loose credit standards that characterized the market in recent years, encouraged by strong demand from yield-hungry investors. The hunt for yield also fed a boom in new issuances of structured loan funds known as collateralized loan obligations (CLOs), which have been the biggest group of lenders in recent years. But investors are shying away from such loans at any sign of trouble, including those deemed “covenant lite” for their scant investor protections, which is sparking steep falls in the prices of loans to firms — particularly when they fail to hit earnings targets. In the U.S., some of the companies whose loans fell below 70 cents on the dollar in recent months included Deluxe Entertainment, a media group whose loans fell to around 40 cents on the dollar in August, according to S&P’s LCD, before the company’s credit rating was downgraded. It later negotiated a debt restructuring, announced in October. Murray Energy Corp., a coal company, and 4L Technologies, a technology recycling group, are two others whose loan values tumbled. Both have since entered restructuring programs. (Subscription required.)

American Consumers, Not China, Are Paying for Trump’s Tariffs

American businesses and consumers, not China, are bearing the financial brunt of President Trump’s trade war, new data shows, undermining the president’s assertion that the U.S. is “taxing the hell out of China,” the New York Times reported. “U.S. tariffs continue to be almost entirely borne by U.S. firms and consumers,” Mary Amiti, an economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, wrote in a National Bureau of Economic Research working paper. The other authors of the paper were David E. Weinstein of Columbia University and Stephen J. Redding of Princeton. Examining the fallout of tariffs in data through October, the authors found that Americans had continued paying for the levies — which increased substantially over the course of the year. Their paper, which is an update on previous research, found that “approximately 100 percent” of import taxes fell on American buyers.

Few Bank Failures Could Be a Warning Sign for U.S. Financial System

Unusually, not a single bank failed in 2018, and just four small lenders have gone under since the end of May 2019. Yet some bank analysts and former regulators say the very paucity of failures may be a sign that hidden risks are building, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis. “It’s in the good times, when things seem very calm and when there are no bank failures, that the bad loans are made,” former FDIC Vice Chairman Thomas Hoenig said. The financial crisis saw a spike in bank failures, as measured by the number of failed lenders and the assets at those firms. Apart from 2018, the only years on record with no failures were 2005 and 2006, when home prices soared and banks feasted on subprime mortgage debt in the run-up to the financial crisis. Regulators say that the current calm is a sign of strength in the economy, which is in its 11th year of expansion. Even banks that do run into trouble can easily raise fresh capital or find a merger partner. All four banks that failed in 2019 were small, and one of them, the Enloe State Bank, with a single branch near Dallas, collapsed as a result of what Texas banking authorities said was “insider abuse and fraud by former officers.” Failures “have been small in number and nothing that gives us concern that there is a systemic problem,” said FDIC Chairman Jelena McWilliams in November. Some of the failures would have occurred sooner in a weaker economy, she said. (Subscription required.)

World Bank Sees Growth Slowing Amid Nagging Risks

Investors set aside their jitters over the recent Middle East tinderbox to send stocks to new highs, but economists taking a long view see graver threats to growth both at home and abroad looming on the horizon, the Washington Post reported. The World Bank in its latest forecast cut expectations for global growth this year by .2 percent — to 2.5 percent — citing “fragile” conditions brought on by ongoing trade uncertainty and a slowdown in investment. That would amount to a tiny improvement over 2019, which saw the worldwide economy expand by 2.4 percent, the slowest pace since the 2008 financial crisis. The development bank left room for rosier outcomes but warned that “downside risks predominate, including the possibility of a re-escalation of global trade tensions, sharp downturns in major economies” and disruptions in the developing world. The outlook closer to home is gloomier. The World Bank sees U.S. growth stumbling from the unspectacular 2.3 percent growth it notched in 2019 to 1.8 percent this year — on its way down to 1.7 percent in both 2021 and 2022. And the World Bank’s forecasters aren’t alone: Economists gathered at the American Economic Association’s annual meeting last week shared a “dark” mood, according to a New York Times article. “Underlying their sense of foreboding was a widespread sentiment that the current expansion is built on a potentially shaky combination of high deficits and low interest rates — and when it ends, as it is bound to do eventually, it could do so painfully,” according to the article. (Subscription required.)

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New on ABI’s Bankruptcy Blog Exchange: Lenders Have Reason to Encourage Faster Debt Payoffs

Research shows most consumers would prefer more options to pay down their debt early. A recent blog post examines why it would also help banks.

To read more on this blog and all others on the ABI Blog Exchange, please click here.

 
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IRS Provides Tax Relief for Those with Discharged Student Loans

ABI Bankruptcy Brief

January 16, 2020

 
ABI Bankruptcy Brief
 
 
 
 
NEWS AND ANALYSIS

IRS Provides Tax Relief for Those with Discharged Student Loans

The IRS and Treasury Department released guidance yesterday that will allow more people with discharged student loans to receive tax relief, The Hill reported. Under the guidance, certain taxpayers with discharged student loans will not have to report the amount of the loan as gross income on their federal tax returns. The guidance applies to taxpayers whose federal loans were discharged by the Department of Education because they were attending a school that closed or because they established that "a school’s actions would give rise to a cause of action against the school under applicable state law," the IRS said. The guidance also applies to taxpayers whose private loans were discharged as a result of legal settlements against colleges and certain private lenders. The new guidance comes after Treasury and the IRS in recent years have provided similar tax relief to taxpayers who took out loans in order to attend schools owned by Corinthian Colleges Inc. or American Career Institutes Inc. — now-defunct for-profit institutions. Treasury and the IRS said in the new guidance that they determined that it's appropriate to extend that tax relief to people who had taken out loans to finance attendance at other schools as well.

New Jersey Could Soon Become First State to Mandate Severance for Employees in Mass Layoffs

New Jersey state lawmakers approved a bill Monday that would compel employers to give more notice and pay severance to laid-off workers, after a public backlash against the treatment of workers who lost their jobs in the retail apocalypse, the Washington Post reported. The bill, which has been called the “Toys ‘R’ Us bill,” after workers of the retail chain that filed for bankruptcy in 2017, requires larger employers to pay workers one week of severance for each year of service. It also gives employees 90 days’ notice, rather than just 60 days, in the event of a mass layoff. It was approved 55-21. “When businesses go bankrupt or close, far too often, workers are given little notice or severance pay. We saw this happen right here in New Jersey last year when Toys “R” Us filed for bankruptcy," lawmaker Annette Quijano (D), a primary sponsor of the bill, said in a statement. "Employees deserve to be treated fairly, especially when they are forced to leave a job due to circumstances beyond their control.” The bill, which only applies to employers with 100 or more full- or part-time workers laying off 50 or more people, was approved by the state’s Senate in December. It now goes to the desk of Gov. Phil Murphy (D).

Consumer Spending Solid at End of Holiday Shopping Season

Consumers headed into 2020 on a solid footing, driving up retail sales in the final month of the holiday season, the Wall Street Journal reported. December retail sales, a measure of purchases at stores, restaurants and online, increased a seasonally adjusted 0.3 percent from a month earlier, the Commerce Department said today. Solid gains in nearly every category offset a drop in motor-vehicle sales, the data showed. Consumer spending has been supported by a strong jobs market and wage gains, as well as diminished tariff uncertainty over the U.S.-China trade dispute. Excluding the volatile categories of autos and gas, retail sales rose 0.5 percent in December, the strongest pace of growth in five months. Still, updated numbers from Commerce showed retail sales outside of motor vehicles and gasoline declined in the prior three months. December department-store sales slipped 0.8 percent from November and declined 5.5 percent from a year earlier. Meanwhile, sales at nonstore retailers, a category that includes internet merchants such as Amazon.com Inc., were up 0.2 percent from November and increased 19.2 percent compared with a year earlier. (Subscription required.)

Banks Reported 2019 Large Profits with the Help of Consumers’ Credit Card Debt

A growing tide of consumer debt helped propel some of the country’s largest banks to major profits last year, the Washington Post reported. JPMorgan Chase, the country’s largest bank, said this week that it earned a record $36 billion profit last year with credit card loans increasing 8 percent. U.S. Bancorp said yesterday that it brought in $7 billion last year with the help of a 7.6 percent increase in its credit card business. Citigroup, which reported a profit of $19 billion last year, said that its branded cards business increased 8 percent in North America last year. Even Wells Fargo, which has been struggling to rebound from scandals, found a bright spot with consumers, reporting that credit card loans were up $2 billion during the fourth quarter. “Even though consumers are confident, people are still carrying significant debt,” said Ted Rossman, an analyst for CreditCards.com. Consumers’ appetite for credit cards has not been dampened by relatively high interest rates. The average rate is 17.3 percent, near a record high, for consumers with a good credit score, according to CreditCards.com, which surveys the country’s 100 most popular cards. The cost is steeper for consumers with lower credit scores, 25.30 percent, according to the site.

Lawmakers Press Rulemaker on Economic Impact of Credit-Loss Standard

The chairman of the Financial Accounting Standards Board on Wednesday faced a barrage of questions from lawmakers seeking to better understand the economic effects of a controversial new rule on credit-loss accounting, the Wall Street Journal reported. During an oversight hearing, members of the House Committee on Financial Services’ Subcommittee on Investor Protection, Entrepreneurship and Capital Markets questioned FASB Chairman Russell Golden, expressing concern that the new accounting rule would negatively affect banks, consumers and the economy at large. Lawmakers cited fears from the banking industry that the rule would curtail credit availability, make credit losses worse in a recession and heighten volatility of bank earnings. “We are setting ourselves up for an even larger problem going forward, caused by accounting,” said Rep. Trey Hollingsworth (R-Ind.). The Current Expected Credit Losses rule (CECL) requires lenders to record expected future losses as soon as loans are issued. The rule was adopted in 2016 and started to go into effect for large public banks on Dec. 15. FASB in October delayed the rule’s effective start date for private and nonprofit lenders until after Dec. 15, 2022. Before CECL, lenders didn’t have to recognize losses until they had evidence the losses had been incurred. FASB, which sets U.S. accounting standards, changed the rule to provide investors with more transparency about the loan-issuing process. (Subscription required.)

2020 Edition of the Mini-Code Now Available for Purchase

Now available for purchase and immediate delivery: The 2020 edition of the Mini-Code (incorporating the Small Business Reorganization Act, the Family Farmer Relief Act, and the HAVEN Act), plus the 2020 edition of the Mini-Rules (including all rules adopted as of Dec. 1, 2019). Order your copies today at store.abi.org!

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New on ABI’s Bankruptcy Blog Exchange: In Rebuke of CFPB, States Look to Get Tough on Debt Collectors

In another sign of state officials trying to outdo the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, governors in California and New York want greater authority to license and oversee the debt collection industry, according to a recent blog post.

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Report: U.S., Canadian Oil Company Bankruptcies Surge 50 Percent in 2019

ABI Bankruptcy Brief

January 23, 2020

 
ABI Bankruptcy Brief
 
 
 
 
NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Report: U.S., Canadian Oil Company Bankruptcies Surge 50 Percent in 2019

A report released yesterday by Dallas law firm Haynes and Boone said that the number of oil and gas company bankruptcies in the U.S. and Canada increased 50 percent in 2019 over the previous year, and is likely to increase as a slide in energy prices continues to shake producers, Reuters reported. U.S. and Canadian oil and natural gas exploration and production company bankruptcies totaled 42 in 2019, up from 28 in 2018, the law firm said. A total of 208 oil and gas production companies filed for bankruptcy between 2015 and 2019, according to the report. "This increase in year-over-year filings indicates that the reverberations of the 2015 oil price crash will continue to be felt in the industry through at least the first half of 2020," Haynes and Boone said in the report. Oilfield service companies were again hit hard with the number of bankruptcies nearly doubling from 12 in 2018 to 21 in 2019, the largest being the $7.4 billion filing by Weatherford International in July. Midstream companies that provide storage and pipelines to producers fared better, with only two bankruptcies in 2019 out of a total of 28 since the beginning of 2015.

U.S. Regulator to Move on Low-Income Lending Overhaul Without Fed

A top U.S. banking regulator said yesterday that he plans to push ahead with a proposal to overhaul rules governing billions of dollars of lending in low-income neighborhoods despite objections from the Federal Reserve, the Wall Street Journal reported. Comptroller of the Currency Joseph Otting said that he doesn’t see that there is time to compromise with the Fed regarding a December proposal that would update federal regulations under the Community Reinvestment Act. The proposal was crafted jointly by his office and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. Otting said that the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency will receive comments on its proposal until March 9 and issue a final rule about 60 days later. The growing rift among federal banking regulators makes it likelier that banks will have to navigate different sets of rules under the community reinvestment law, which was enacted in 1977 to end “redlining” — the practice of avoiding lending in certain areas, often lower-income communities, which served to deepen racial disparities in housing and education. The OCC oversees roughly 70 percent of activity under the rules, and its proposal would apply to some 1,200 banks — including some of the biggest, such as JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Wells Fargo & Co. The Fed oversees about 15 percent of CRA activity. Earlier this month, Fed governor Lael Brainard, who is leading the central bank’s efforts to update the act, criticized the joint proposal by the OCC and FDIC. She said that it could encourage some banks to meet their CRA requirements through a small number of large loans or investments, potentially reducing many poor and middle-class Americans’ access to financing. (Subscription required.)

110 Million Consumers Could See Their Credit Scores Change Under New FICO Scoring

Americans who are struggling to pay off their debt could see lower FICO credit scores in their future, especially if they miss payments, CNBC.com reported. Fair Isaac Corp., the company behind the popular FICO credit score, announced the launch of its latest FICO 10 model today, Jan. 23, that will start incorporating consumers’ debt levels into their scoring model. This comes as total household debt in the U.S. has steadily increased for about two years, and currently sits at about $13.95 trillion as of September 2019, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. That’s higher than the previous high of $12.68 trillion seen right before the 2008 financial crisis. FICO estimates that about 110 million consumers will see a change to their score under the new credit score model, with most people seeing less than a 20-point swing in either direction. Roughly 40 million will see a shift upward over 20 points and another 40 million will see a shift downward, FICO says. The new scoring model will also likely create a wider gap between those who are considered good credit risks and those who are not. Consumers who already have good credit, for example, and who continue to whittle down their existing loans and make on-time payments will see higher scores. But those who score below 600 will see bigger dips in their scores under the new model.

Commentary: Chicago Doubling Down on Dangerous ‘Securitized Bonds'

Chicago's already sold off its share of future sales tax revenue that flows from the state to secure other bonds, and new bondholders will be taking a junior ownership position in that, according to a Crain's Chicago Business commentary. The city indeed will get about $250 million up front, from refunding savings, to put toward this year's budget. The exact numbers on that and some other aspects of the new bond offerings were still pending as this was being written. While chances may be remote that Chicago would go bankrupt, bond buyers are not that optimistic. That's why they want conveyance of full ownership of streams of income to collateralize their loans, called "securitized bonds." Prevailing legal opinion says they are likely, though not entirely certain, to get priority for payment over everything else, even in bankruptcy. The big losers may end up being taxpayers, service recipients, public pensioners and everybody else with a stake in government except the muni bond community: bondholders, underwriters, bankers, lawyers and so on, according to the commentary. Securitized bonds raise the risk of an "assetless bankruptcy," the worst of all outcomes. The debtor then has nothing to work with to get a fresh start, and there's nothing left for unsecured creditors. Those unsecured creditors would include pensioners insofar as pensions are underfunded.

Shadow Banks Come into the Light in Global Lending

According to Bank for International Settlements data released this week, nonbank financial institutions are leading the growth in cross-border lending, with cross-border banking claims in the third quarter up 17 percent from a year earlier. That’s the fastest growth in at least six years, when records began, the Wall Street Journal reported. Banks’ cross-border claims on and liabilities to nonbank financiers have risen by nearly $8 trillion since the end of 2013, while their cross-border exposure to other banks has actually declined slightly under the weight of increasingly stringent regulations. Shadow banks typically include brokers, clearinghouses, funds, investment trusts and structured finance vehicles. While there is nothing inherently wrong about their becoming more important, the shift raises questions among experts about how they’ll behave in a sharp slowdown or financial crisis. (Subscription required.)

First Published Opinion on Retroactive Application of the HAVEN Act References ABI's Veterans Affairs Task Force

Hon. Robert Jones of the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Northern District of Texas provides good supporting authority in a Nov. 21, 2019, dicta opinion for the retroactive application of the HAVEN Act to cases that were pending when the President signed the bill into law on Aug. 23, 2019. The In re Price opinion is also notable for its reference to ABI's Veterans Affairs Task Force. See below:

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New on ABI’s Bankruptcy Blog Exchange: Denial of Stay Relief Is a Final Order, Says the U.S. Supreme Court

The Supreme Court in Ritzen Group Inc. v. Jackson Masonry LLC issued a unanimous opinion last week, ruling that the Sixth Circuit Court of Appeals correctly denied the ability of creditor Ritzen Group Inc. to appeal the bankruptcy court’s order denying as untimely Ritzen’s motion for relief from the automatic stay in Jackson Masonry’s chapter 11 case, according to a recent blog post.

For further information on the Supreme Court's opinion in Ritzen, be sure to read ABI Editor-at-Large Bill Rochelle's analysis.

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PwC: Retail M&A Deals Fell 19 Percent in 2019

ABI Bankruptcy Brief

January 30, 2020

 
ABI Bankruptcy Brief
 
 
 
 
NEWS AND ANALYSIS

PwC: Retail M&A Deals Fell 19 Percent in 2019

A new report from PricewaterhouseCoopers found that retail's merger and acquisition deal volume fell 19 percent between 2019 and 2018, with 465 total deals last year, RetailDive.com reported. In dollar terms, the report found that the total value of deals in 2019 fell 28 percent, to $27.8 billion, compared to the prior year. PwC attributed the "dwindling M&A activity" for the year overall in retail on a host of factors, including e-commerce disruption, growing competition from resale and rental, difficulties in keeping physical retail relevant, the challenges in managing inventory and merchandise flow, rising labor costs and trade disputes. And the already relatively sluggish deal pace in 2019 would have yet been lower if not for the fourth quarter, which saw a spike in M&A activity and accounted for 67 percent of retail investments for the year, according to PwC. Q4 hit the highest number in quarterly value since Q2 of 2018, PwC said. The average deal size also got a 220% boost in the back half of the year from the Tiffany-LVMH "megadeal." At $16.2 billion, that deal accounted for 58 percent of all retail deals in 2019.

Opinion: Borden Dairy’s Bankruptcy and the Continued Decline of the Milk Industry

Borden Dairy Co. filed this month for bankruptcy protection, but it’s not the first big milk producer to take this step in the past year: Dean Foods Co. filed for bankruptcy in November. This is sad news, but it is also an opportune time to consider the little-appreciated ways that capitalist enterprise and government regulation went hand-in-hand to create the modern milk business that Borden, founded in 1857, once represented. Gail Borden patented a method for condensing milk using a vacuum process, but his company originally struggled. Borden’s fortunes changed on a single order during the Civil War of 500 pounds of condensed milk, which led to many more. In the late 19th century, most city-dwellers continued to buy conventional milk, not the safer condensed stuff, and infant mortality rates remained at eye-popping levels. Only when the state and city governments began cracking down on unhealthy dairies and other abuses did things begin to change. Large vertically integrated companies like Borden, which had already instituted rigorous quality-control programs, could readily meet the new regulations in a way that smaller, independent dairies and distributors could not. As milk became safer and cheaper, it became the drink of choice. When combined with a host of other government initiatives — New Deal subsidies and price supports, school-lunch programs and others — big milk became further entrenched in the nation’s diet. But then, beginning in the 1970s, milk consumption began the slow, steady decline that helped fuel the Borden bankruptcy. The conventional explanation is that Americans started consuming other drinks: fruit juices, for example, and eventually, milk substitutes. Regulation may have played a role here, too. The federal government introduced food labeling in 1973, and a growing number of products eventually were forced to confess their amounts of healthy and unhealthy contents. Guidelines established in 1977 targeted a few villains, foremost among them fat. The milk industry’s pride of place in the nation’s diet is a function of regulation. But so, too, may be its long, inexorable decline.

Big Credit-Reporting Changes Sought in Bill Passed by U.S. House

Credit-reporting companies would have to remove negative data more quickly and give consumers more tools to dispute information they believe is inaccurate under a package of bills passed by U.S. lawmakers yesterday, Bloomberg News reported. The legislation, which cleared the Democrat-controlled House on a 221-189 vote, calls for major changes in business practices by Equifax Inc., Experian Plc, TransUnion and rival firms. It would also expand the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s power to validate credit scores and prohibit certain practices used to calculate them. Rep. Maxine Waters (D-Calif.), who chairs the House Financial Services Committee, has made reform of credit-reporting companies a priority as part of a broader effort to improve credit access for minority and lower-income consumers. The legislation faces long odds of passage by the Republican-controlled Senate, where some majority lawmakers say that the government shouldn’t get involved in managing a private-sector process. The credit-scoring companies came under public scorn and lawmakers’ scrutiny after a massive data breach at Equifax in 2017 compromised the personal data of almost half the U.S. population. The company agreed last year to pay as much as $700 million to resolve federal and state investigations into the cyberattack.

Fraudulent Social Security Calls Now No. 1 Phone Scam, According to Senate Report

An annual report from the Senate Aging Committee released yesterday found that Social Security impersonation calls are now the nation’s most-reported phone scam, The Hill reported. Fraudulent IRS calls were also the most prevalent scam reported in the previous five years. The typical scam involves a robocall from someone impersonating the Social Security Administration (SSA) and asking for the recipient’s personal information. The calls resulted in scammers bilking Americans, mostly seniors, for $38 million last year, according to the Senate report, citing the Federal Trade Commission. SSA Commissioner Andrew Saul and Inspector General Gail Ennis, both confirmed in 2019, told members of the Senate Special Committee on Aging at a hearing Wednesday that they have made combating the scams a top priority. “The magnitude of this problem caught us off guard,” Saul said. “Americans trust our agencies, and we do not allow swindlemen to erode that trust.” Saul stressed that educating Americans about which calls are suspicious is the best way to tackle the problem. He said that now when anyone visits the agency’s website, they’ll see a banner linking to tips on how to avoid the scam. The SSA and Office of the Inspector General partnered to create an online reporting forum so they can investigate and stop the scammers. They said they have received more than 115,000 reports of fraudulent calls since the forum went live in mid-November.

Worried Reporters Make a Plea: Please Buy Our Paper

As hedge funds take on a greater role in newspaper chains, journalists at the Chicago Tribune and elsewhere are sending out an S.O.S., the New York Times reported. After having bought up roughly 32 percent of Tribune Publishing in recent years, Alden Global Capital is the company’s largest shareholder. It can buy more Tribune Publishing stock as soon as July. This month, the company asked journalists at newspapers across the country to volunteer for buyouts. In response, some Chicago Tribune journalists are undertaking efforts to have wealthy Chicagoans purchase the company away from its private-equity owners. Overall, journalists are wary of Alden because of its cut-to-the-bone management strategy. In 2018, a group of writers and editors at the Alden-owned Denver Post published a special package devoted to attacking the company, which had enacted deep staff cuts at the paper. It is certainly not news that the newspaper business is in trouble. Its onetime profit center, print advertising, has declined sharply as readers increasingly prefer to get the news on screens. The finance industry, looking at newspapers as distressed assets with hidden value, has swooped in, scooping up struggling publications, cutting their staffs and wringing them for profits. Journalists in other cities have made moves to protect their jobs — by working to form unions, seeking out new ownership or putting a spotlight on private-equity's actions in their newsrooms.

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New on ABI’s Bankruptcy Blog Exchange: Regulators Propose Volcker Rule Changes to Allow VC Stakes

In another rollback of the bank trading ban, federal agencies have unveiled a plan to allow financial institutions to invest in multiple companies through certain fund structures, according to a recent blog post.

To read more on this blog and all others on the ABI Blog Exchange, please click here.

 
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As Americans Sour on Milk, Could Famous Dairy Brands Disappear?

ABI Bankruptcy Brief

February 6, 2020

 
ABI Bankruptcy Brief
 
 
 
 
NEWS AND ANALYSIS

As Americans Sour on Milk, Could Famous Dairy Brands Disappear?

As consumers increasingly turn to milk alternatives and thousands of dairy farms are collapsing, milk producers are now faltering, too, putting thousands of jobs at risk and threatening their brands, USA Today reported. The recent chapter 11 bankruptcies of two major milk producers, Dean Foods and Borden Dairy, have shown how a sharp decline in milk sales poses an existential threat to leading dairy brands like Land O' Lakes and TruMoo. Consumption of dairy milk fell about 41 percent from 1975 to 2018, dropping from 247 pounds per person annually to 146 pounds, or about 17 gallons, according to the Department of Agriculture’s National Agricultural Statistics Service. The trends have contributed to a financial crisis for dairy farms for years. More than 94,000 family dairy farms shut down from 1992 to 2018, according to the National Farmers Union. Part of the problem is that even as dairy farms disappear, overall milk production has increased — in part due to improved techniques for cow milking — which has flooded the market with milk. Now, after several years of price drops due to excess supply, farmers have boosted milk prices to try to make up for their own losses. In November, the most recent month in which data was available, the price of raw milk was $21 per 100 pounds, up 22 percent from November 2018, according to the USDA.

CFPB Director Assailed Over Restricting Power to Police ‘Abusive’ Conduct

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s leader came under criticism Thursday from U.S. House Democrats over recent enforcement guidance that some critics said would undercut the regulator’s ability to crack down on abusive industry practices, the National Law Journal reported. Appearing before the House Financial Services Committee, CFPB Director Kathy Kraninger was scolded by Democratic lawmakers over the guidance, in which the bureau said that it was aiming to bring clarity to an enforcement area that financial industry advocates have described as poorly defined. Indeed, in the decade since the Dodd-Frank Act created the CFPB, the financial industry has broadly bemoaned the agency’s power to police “abusive” practices, authority that came in addition to long-established standards for pursuing “unfair or deceptive” conduct. U.S. Rep. Maxine Waters (D-Calif.), chairwoman of the House financial services committee, described Kraninger’s leadership of the bureau as “misguided” and said the new guidance “undercuts” its enforcement abilities. Kraninger’s appearance came two weeks after the CFPB released the guidance. The new policy said the agency would only challenge conduct as “abusive” if the harm to consumers outweighed the benefit. The CFPB also said it would generally avoid labeling conduct “abusive” in addition to “deceptive” or “unfair,” instead bringing standalone cases that would more clearly demonstrate how the agency defines “abusive.” The bureau said it would impose fines only in cases where there has been a “lack of a good-faith effort to comply with the law,” although the agency plans to continue seeking restitution for harmed consumers. 



In related news, Kathy Kraninger, director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB), said today that she asked the Supreme Court to strip her immunity from President Trump to settle “uncertainty” lingering over the agency, The Hill reported. Kraninger said that she is supporting a legal challenge to the bureau before the Supreme Court in order to resolve questions about the agency’s structure. The Supreme Court is set to hear arguments in March on Seila Law vs. CFPB, a lawsuit that accuses the bureau of being unconstitutional because it infringes upon the president's authority. Kraninger and the Trump administration filed a brief in September asking the Supreme Court to strip a provision from the Dodd-Frank Act, which created the CFPB, that protects her from being fired at will by the president. Under Dodd-Frank, the president may only fire the CFPB director “for cause,” which is generally understood to be misconduct or incompetence. “Congress obviously provided a clear mission for this agency, but there are some questions around this and I want the uncertainty to be resolved,” Kraninger said in testimony before the House Financial Services Committee. “I would very much like to see a resolution on this question because it has hampered the CFPB and its ability to carry out its mission virtually since its inception.”

Analysis: How the Risk Profiles of Large U.S. Bank Holding Companies Changed After the Global Financial Crisis

After the global financial crisis, regulatory changes were implemented to support financial stability, with some changes directly addressing capital and liquidity in bank holding companies (BHCs) and others targeting BHC size and complexity. Although the overall size of the largest U.S. BHCs has not decreased since the crisis, the organizational complexity of these same organizations has declined, with less notable changes being observed in their range of businesses and geographic scope, according to an analysis by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York's "Liberty Street Economics" blog. The analysis explores how different types of BHC risks — risks that can influence the probability that a BHC is stressed, as well as the chance of systemic implications — have changed over time. The results are mixed: Levels of most BHC risks tend to be higher than in the years immediately preceding the crisis, but are markedly lower than the levels seen during and immediately following the crisis.

Commentary: Reforms May Be the Downfall of Pension Funds

The shock of U.S. state and local pension fund losses in 2008 led to a flurry of reforms. These may not have actually improved aggregate funding ratios, but they did stop the decline, according to a Bloomberg commentary. In the next potential recession, the reforms of 2008-16 may prove to be the undoing of a system that has staggered along for decades. The next recession could be mild, or perhaps the current system will prove resilient, according to the commentary. It would still be very painful, of course, to public sector workers, government creditors and taxpayers, but alternative ways of resolving underfunded pension funds might be more painful. Much of the focus has been on the funding ratio of pensions, which is the ratio between the value of assets in a fund to the present value of its liabilities. But this is a theoretical calculation that depends on several hard-to-estimate parameters. Moreover, it only tells us that at some point in the future either someone will have to kick in more funds or promised benefits cannot be paid. It doesn’t tell us when that will happen. Funds can survive for decades — perhaps forever — without full funding. Looking at aggregate numbers is misleading, as a crisis will be triggered by the funds in the worst financial shape, not the average fund, according to the commentary. It is possible for an optimist to hope that aggregate pension assets could cover aggregate benefit obligations with perhaps a few only mildly painful adjustments. But even if that’s true in the aggregate, if enough of the 6,300 state and local pension plans fail, it will cause legal and political changes that will likely end the current system of partially funded defined-benefit plans for public sector employees.

Upcoming ABI Webinar and New Website Will Help Practitioners Navigate the Small Business Reorganization Act Before It Takes Effect on Feb. 19

As the Small Business Reorganization Act of 2019 (SBRA) takes effect on February 19, ABI is holding a special webinar next Tuesday with a panel of experts to identify key provisions to be aware of within the new law. ABI also launched the "SBRA Resources" website to help practitioners and struggling small businesses learn about the new law and stay updated on SBRA developments. To register for free for the "What's the Last Word on SBRA?" Webinar on February 11 at 1 p.m. EDT, please click here.

To visit ABI's SBRA Resources site, please click here.

Duberstein Bankruptcy Moot Court Competition – Call for Preliminary Round Judges

Each year, the American Bankruptcy Institute and St. John’s University School of Law co-sponsor the Duberstein Bankruptcy Moot Court Competition, which brings teams from law schools throughout the country to New York to argue two sophisticated bankruptcy issues. This year, 60 teams are participating in the competition in New York, which will be held from Saturday, February 29, through Monday, March 2, 2020. More than a dozen bankruptcy, district and court of appeals judges will judge the advanced oral rounds and attend the Gala Awards Reception at Gotham Hall on March 2. This year’s hypothetical addresses §§ 365(c)(1) and 1129(a)(10) as tied together by a compelling business bankruptcy fact pattern. The hypothetical can be viewed here.

The Duberstein Competition is looking for volunteers to serve as judges for the preliminary rounds of the competition on Saturday, February 29, and/or Sunday, March 1, at St. John’s University’s Queens campus. We have a particular need for judges on Sunday morning. CLE credit is available, and the commitment is only for one half-day (unless you are interested in participating in multiple sessions). To register to serve as a judge for one or more sessions of the preliminary rounds, please complete this Preliminary Judge Form.

If you have any questions about the Duberstein Competition or serving as a preliminary round judge, please do not hesitate to contact Paul R. Hage, co-director of the Duberstein Competition, at (248) 840-9079 or [email protected].

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New on ABI’s Bankruptcy Blog Exchange: CFPB Settlement Would Bar Lender from Doing Business in 17 States

Think Finance, which had teamed with tribal lenders to offer high-interest installment loans, could no longer make or collect on loans in states that have caps on interest rates, under terms of a proposed settlement with the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB), according to a recent blog post.

To read more on this blog and all others on the ABI Blog Exchange, please click here.

 
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CBO: Student Debt Forgiveness in U.S. to Total $207 Billion in Next Decade

ABI Bankruptcy Brief

February 13, 2020

 
ABI Bankruptcy Brief
 
 
 
 
NEWS AND ANALYSIS

CBO: Student Debt Forgiveness in U.S. to Total $207 Billion in Next Decade

The Congressional Budget Office issued a report yesterday that said that the U.S. government will forgive $207.4 billion in student debt for Americans who take out loans over the next decade, the Wall Street Journal reported. The biggest benefits will go to borrowers who attend graduate or professional school. The CBO projects that the government will originate $1.05 trillion in new loans from 2020 to 2029. Much of that will end up in income-driven repayment plans, which set monthly payments as a share of a borrower’s income and then forgive balances that remain after 20 to 25 years, or 10 years for workers in public-sector jobs. The biggest benefits will go to Americans who borrow for graduate school, the CBO said in a report. The government will likely forgive $167.1 billion for such borrowers, or 56 percent of the amount extended. The forgiven amount includes the original loan amounts, or principal, as well as unpaid interest. The government will forgive about $40.3 billion on new loans made for undergraduates over that period, or 21 percent of the original amounts, according to the CBO study, which was ordered in 2018 by Senate Budget Committee Chairman Sen. Mike Enzi (R-Wyo.). The U.S. government is the nation’s primary lender for college and graduate students. About 43 million Americans owe $1.51 trillion in federal student loans. Current law requires that any balances forgiven for private-sector workers will be taxed as ordinary income.

Study: High Child-Care Costs Are a Significant Hurdle for First-Time Home Buyers

The damping effect of student loan debt on home ownership has been much discussed, but another expense may be delaying some from entering the housing market: child-care costs, the Washington Post reported. A recent study by Freddie Mac found that, adjusted for inflation, child care expenses jumped by 49 percent over the past 25 years. During that same period — 1993 to 2018 — housing costs rose by 14 percent when adjusted for inflation. Freddie Mac’s research found that families with child-care expenses had less money to spend on their housing costs. According to Freddie Mac’s research, families spend an average of $715 per month on child care. For families with younger children, the cost averages $948. The percentage of income spent on child care varies but hits lower-income families harder. Researchers found families who earn less than $1,500 per month spend an average of 40 percent of their income on child care. Families with a monthly income of $4,500 and more spend about 7 percent of their income on those costs.



Commentary: Puerto Rico’s Debt Deal Has a $16 Billion Unknown*

General-obligation bondholders reached an agreement in Puerto Rico's bankruptcy, but the case may hinge on the treatment of other debt, according to a Bloomberg commentary. The potential deal would cut Puerto Rico general obligations and debt guaranteed by the commonwealth to $10.7 billion from $17.8 billion, about a 40 percent reduction. The overall plan slashes debt and non-bond claims to $11 billion from $35 billion, a $24 billion reduction. However, one large part of Puerto Rico’s debt stack isn’t getting much attention, even though it’s facing the steepest losses and is a crucial component for making the entire restructuring plan work, according to the commentary. The oversight board’s revised agreement shows $16 billion of debt marked as “ERS, Clawbacks, and Other” that would receive a recovery rate of just 3 percent. The category includes bonds issued by the Puerto Rico Convention Center District Authority, the Infrastructure Financing Authority and the Highways and Transportation Authority, among others. The new proposal is structured such that a huge chunk of debt reduction is coming at the expense of these junior creditors, who notably haven’t agreed to the terms, said Brad Setser, a former U.S. Treasury economist and now a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. With where things stand on the island, it’s hard to see how junior bondholders could make a case for a better recovery, according to the commentary. The plan has some caveats around that 3 percent rate, noting that it “excludes any potential recoveries from assets currently at ERS (approximately $1.2 billion). Amounts are subject to further diligence and material revision. Assets remain subject to ongoing litigation.”


*The views expressed in this commentary are from the author/publication cited, are meant for informative purposes only, and are not an official position of ABI.

Don't miss the ABI Talk, "PROMESA'S Long Road of Good Intentions," by Cate Long of the Puerto Rico Clearinghouse (New York) at this year's Annual Spring Meeting! For more information about the conference and to register, please click here.

U.S. Labor Strikes Increased to 18-Year High in 2019, Led by Teachers

U.S. labor strikes last year increased to their highest level since 2001, with lost work days led by General Motors Co. and Chicago Public Schools, Bloomberg News reported. Total work stoppages involving 1,000 or more workers climbed to 25 in 2019, most of them comprised of education and health workers across the country, according to a Bureau of Labor Statistics report released on Tuesday. The number of strike participants fell from the prior year, but days lost topped 3.2 million — the most since 2004. More than one-third of that total came from autoworkers at GM, whose six-week strike last year was the longest automotive walkout in half a century. Unions have been losing members for decades, with the latest BLS data showing that their ranks fell slightly to 10.3 percent in 2019 from 10.5 percent the prior year. In 1983, one-fifth of workers were represented by organized labor. Overall, the labor market remains tight and employers are desperate for skilled workers, giving workers more bargaining power. Strike activity, though, is far below the levels of the mid-late 20th century. In 1981, for example, there were 145 major strikes, which cost employers about 17 million working days. Levels haven’t topped 100 strikes a year since then. One strike from last year, United Steelworkers working for ASARCO in Arizona and Texas, is ongoing, according to BLS.

Upcoming abiLIVE Webinar Explores the HAVEN Act and How to Approach Military or VA Benefits in Bankruptcy
The HAVEN Act was signed into law last year to correct the Code to exclude VA benefits from the current monthly income used in the means test. Members of ABI’s Task Force on Veterans and Servicemembers Affairs worked diligently to have the bill introduced and signed into law to help financially struggling veterans and servicemembers. Find out about the key points of the HAVEN Act, and get pointers on how to approach cases involving military or VA benefits, during a special abiLIVE webinar on February 26. Members of the Task Force, along with top practitioners, will be providing their perspectives. Click here to register for FREE.

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New on ABI’s Bankruptcy Blog Exchange: Unanswered Questions: Small Business Reorganization Act of 2019

A recent blog post recently compiled a few questions about the Small Business Reorganization Act that don’t seem to have a ready or clear answer as the law goes into effect on Feb. 19, and that will need to await action by the various bankruptcy courts and their appellate overseers.

To read more on this blog and all others on the ABI Blog Exchange, please click here.

 
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Report: 1 in 4 Rural Hospitals Is Vulnerable to Closure

ABI Bankruptcy Brief

February 20, 2020

 
ABI Bankruptcy Brief
 
 
 
 
NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Report: 1 in 4 Rural Hospitals Is Vulnerable to Closure

A new report from the Chartis Center for Rural Health puts the situation in dire terms: 2019 was the worst year for rural hospital closures this decade, with 19 hospitals in rural America shutting their doors, Vox.com reported. Nearly one out of every four open rural hospitals has early warning signs that indicate they are also at risk of closing in the near future. Since 2010, 120 rural hospitals have closed, according to University of North Carolina researchers. And today, 453 of the 1,844 rural hospitals still operating across the country should be considered vulnerable for closure. The Chartis researchers sought to identify key risk factors that precipitated rural hospital closures, then used those indicators to project which hospitals are at risk of closing soon. Some of the criteria were obvious, like changes in revenue or how many beds are occupied on average. But there was one other leading indicator that has an obvious political explanation and that should be entirely avoidable: whether the hospital is in a state that expanded Medicaid under Obamacare. According to Chartis, being in a Medicaid expansion state decreases by 62 percent the likelihood of a rural hospital closing. Conversely, being in a non-expansion state makes it more likely a rural hospital will close. The states that have experienced the most rural hospital closures over the last 10 years (Texas, Tennessee, Oklahoma, Georgia, Alabama and Missouri) have all refused to expand Medicaid through the 2010 health care law, and it seems their rural hospitals are paying the price. Of the 216 hospitals that Chartis says are most vulnerable to closure, 75 percent are in non-expansion states. Those 216 hospitals have an operating margin of negative 8.6 percent.



Don’t miss ABI’s Health Care Program on March 5 in Nashville, Tenn. Click here to find out more and register.

Commentary: A $145,000 Surprise Medical Bill and a Glimpse into the American Health Care System

A couple who received a bill for their child’s hospital stay that totaled $145,000 taught them tough lessons about the American health care system, according to a New York Times commentary. The bill in question was for a procedure that had been scheduled months before. The couple had consulted with the provider, who, indeed, was out of network, but the doctors had assured them that the total cost would nevertheless require nothing but a modest co-payment. But it appeared that the doctors were wrong and the couple was looking at a hefty “surprise medical bill.” About 20 percent of Americans receiving elective surgery are now on the receiving end of these bombshells, according to the commentary. The couple contacted the doctor the day after they received the $145,000 bill and was informed that even when procedures are pre-authorized (as the child’s was), insurers often deny them anyway. His understanding was that insurance companies often respond to pre-approved claims with denial and delay, hoping that consumers will somehow just give up. Fortunately for the family, the child’s doctors did not give up, as the bill was fixed, and the family was not financially wiped out. Two pieces of legislation in the House of Representatives have been proposed recently to address crises like the one now facing the family. The Ban Surprise Billing Act, sponsored by Rep. Lloyd Doggett (D-Texas), would require hospitals to notify patients and get consent if they will be receiving any out-of-network treatment. And last week, the Ways and Means Committee sent the Consumer Protections Against Surprise Medical Bills Act to the House floor. This would also flag potential out-of-network costs for patients, and require insurers and providers to settle disputes through arbitration.



Dealerships Give Car Buyers Some Advice: Just Stop Paying Your Loan

Joyce Parks was struggling to afford her Kia Soul when, she says, the dealership where she had bought it pitched her an unconventional idea: Stop making the payments, the Wall Street Journal reported. Parks said that employees told her that she couldn’t trade in the Soul, but that she could buy another car. To get rid of the Soul, the dealership told her, she should have the lender repossess it, Parks said. The trade-in, where a buyer hands a car back to a dealership and uses it as credit toward another one, is often a crucial step in car buying. But some dealerships are instead telling buyers to give their old cars back to their lenders — and selling them new ones — in a practice known as “kicking the trade.” It is difficult to estimate how often this happens. Auto-sales veterans say the practice is an open secret in some showrooms. Broadly, vehicles are getting more expensive and Americans are struggling to afford them. Dealerships now make more money arranging financing than selling vehicles. If a car loan goes bad, it typically isn’t the dealership on the hook — it is the borrower or lender. The National Automobile Dealers Association said there is no evidence to suggest that the practice of “kicking the trade” is prevalent, but consumer lawyers say that they have seen more such cases. Five years ago, “it happened two or three times per year,” said Daniel Blinn, a Connecticut-based attorney who has sued dealerships and auto lenders. “Now, we hear it at least once per month.” Credit-reporting firm TransUnion calculates that nearly 24 million U.S. vehicle loans were originated in 2018. About 300,000 of those vehicles were repossessed within 12 months, up 17 percent from 2014. Such a quick souring of the loan can be a signal of some sort of auto fraud. (Subscription required.)

Analysis: CLOs Seek Flexibility for Distressed Assets Amid Lender Competition

U.S. collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) are increasingly seeking flexibility to provide rescue financing to distressed companies after other lenders have been able to swoop in and offer lifelines to borrowers and often obtain a senior claim on assets in the process, Reuters reported. CLO managers can be prohibited from participating in restructuring or workout scenarios due to constraints in their deal documents, so when sales and marketing firm Acosta reworked its debt late last year, their funds were essentially forced to sit on the sideline. The result could impact returns to CLO investors, especially in the next downturn when recovery rates are already predicted to be more than 20 percent lower than the historical average. In November, some investors agreed to provide $250 million of equity capital to Acosta as part of a restructuring that wiped out about $3 billion of the company’s debt. CLOs, forced to the wings, have started to push for the ability to either provide companies with rescue financing or increased flexibility to receive equity in a workout situation in order to be able to participate in future reorganizations.

Wednesday’s abiLIVE Webinar Explores the HAVEN Act and How to Approach Military or VA Benefits in Bankruptcy

The HAVEN Act was signed into law last year to correct the Code to exclude VA benefits from the current monthly income used in the means test. Members of ABI’s Task Force on Veterans and Servicemembers Affairs worked diligently to have the bill introduced and signed into law to help financially struggling veterans and servicemembers. Find out about the key points of the HAVEN Act, and get pointers on how to approach cases involving military or VA benefits, during a special abiLIVE webinar on February 26. Members of the Task Force, along with top practitioners, will be providing their perspectives. Click here to register for FREE.

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New on ABI’s Bankruptcy Blog Exchange: The First Subchapter V Small Business Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Case

It appears that the trophy for the first-ever subchapter V small business chapter 11 case was filed by Michael and Gwatholyn Turney, the husband and wife owners of Papa Turney’s Old Fashioned BBQ in the Nashville, Tenn., area, according to a recent blog post.
For more news, analysis and events on the SBRA, be sure to visit ABI’s SBRA Resources page.

To read more on this blog and all others on the ABI Blog Exchange, please click here.

 
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Retired, or Hoping to Be, and Saddled with Student Loans

ABI Bankruptcy Brief

February 27, 2020

 
ABI Bankruptcy Brief
 
 
 
 
NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Retired, or Hoping to Be, and Saddled with Student Loans

A report by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) found that Americans older than 60 are the fastest-growing group of college loan debtors — the vast majority of them borrowing for others, the New York Times reported. In all, more than 2.8 million Americans over 60 are contending with student debt, a number that has quadrupled from 700,000 in 2005, according to the bureau. The cost is swelling, too: Between 2012 and 2017, for those aged 60 and older, the average amount of student loan debt almost doubled, ballooning to $23,500 from $12,100. A 2019 AARP Public Policy Institute report found that 15 years ago, borrowers 50 and over held $47 billion of the nation’s $455.2 billion in student loan debt. By 2018, that figure had risen to $289.5 billion of an overall $1.5 trillion. Julie B. Miller, a researcher at the M.I.T. AgeLab who is studying how college debt affects family relationships, said student loans and longevity planning are at odds within many debt-saddled households. Pre-retirement milestones like paying off a mortgage get shelved in favor of paying off loans, she said.

U.S. Official: Disaster Recovery Pace in Puerto Rico Sped Up

The newly appointed U.S. official charged with overseeing disaster recovery in Puerto Rico said Tuesday that while the pace of federally funded projects to help hurricane and earthquake victims has quickened, he’s worried about long-term efforts, the Associated Press reported. The comments by Peter Brown, White House special representative for Puerto Rico’s disaster recovery, came after he met for the first time with officials in the U.S. territory amid criticism that the local and federal government response has been slow. “The reputation seems to lag the reality. The reality is improving,” he said, adding that he will report to President Donald Trump upon his return to the U.S. mainland. “I think he will be convinced that federal money and federal efforts are being spent wisely here.” Ever since Hurricane Maria hit Puerto Rico as a Category 4 storm in September 2017, Trump has been accused of delaying and denying aid to the U.S. territory amid concerns of corruption and government inefficiency on the island. The U.S. Congress has approved nearly $50 billion to help Puerto Rico, but federal officials have only disbursed roughly $15 billion. Brown, who previously served as commander of the Miami-based U.S. Coast Guard’s Seventh District, said that while he’s aware many were dissatisfied with the pace of recovery, it has changed dramatically in part because of the relationship with Puerto Rico’s new governor. Alex Amparo, Puerto Rico’s coordinating officer for the Federal Emergency Management Agency, said the agency was tentatively approving 10-15 projects a month six months ago. Now, it’s up to 160 projects per month.



U.S. Companies Face Crucial Test over China’s Factory Shutdown

The next few weeks will be crunchtime for U.S. companies awaiting products from stalled Chinese factories due to the coronavirus, the Washington Post reported. If their suppliers spring back to life soon, many companies say that they should be able to manage without disastrous disruption. But the uncertainty is keeping managers up at night. The variables go beyond the number of employees allowed to return to work after weeks of quarantine. Factories will need enough raw materials to restore production, and enough protective masks to keep workers safely in place for the foreseeable future. They’ll also need Chinese truckers and functioning ports to ensure that goods can make it to market. For many U.S. companies, the coronavirus has exacerbated troubles they were already having with manufacturing in China, after the Trump administration last year levied large import tariffs on Chinese-made goods. The virus is also hitting multinational companies that sell their goods inside China, where mass quarantines have stalled one of the world’s biggest markets. Deere last week said its sales of road-building equipment have softened over the past month as construction has halted in China, which usually makes up 10 to 15 percent of sales. Fast-food chains and other retailers, including Starbucks, Domino’s Pizza and Lululemon, have closed stores in China or postponed new store openings. American Axle & Manufacturing, an auto parts maker based in Detroit, said it expects about $25 million in lost sales during February and early March as car manufacturing slumps in China.

Research Examines Whether Subprime Borrowers Drove the Housing Boom in Mid-2000s

The role of subprime mortgage lending in the U.S. housing boom of the 2000s is hotly debated in academic literature. One prevailing narrative attributes the unprecedented home price growth during the mid-2000s to an expansion in mortgage lending to subprime borrowers. Yet a post on the New York Fed's "Liberty Street Economics" blog presents evidence that is inconsistent with conventional wisdom. In particular, the researchers show that the housing boom and the subprime boom occurred in different places. House price growth was fastest in the western part of the country, Florida and the Northeast Corridor, while the fastest growth in the subprime share of purchase lending occurred in areas like the Midwest and Ohio River Valley. Simply put, the housing boom and the subprime boom occurred in different places. High house price appreciation may have made property increasingly unaffordable for subprime borrowers, leading to a “pricing-out” effect, according to the researchers. They found that higher house price growth lowered the relative likelihood of a subprime individual becoming a homeowner. Taken together, these findings are consistent with a pricing-out effect.

Duberstein Bankruptcy Moot Court Competition – Call for Judges on Sunday Morning

Each year, the American Bankruptcy Institute and St. John’s University School of Law co-sponsor the Duberstein Bankruptcy Moot Court Competition, which brings teams from law schools throughout the country to New York to argue two sophisticated bankruptcy issues. This year, 60 teams are participating in the competition in New York, which will be held from Saturday, February 29, through Monday, March 2, 2020. More than a dozen bankruptcy, district and court of appeals judges will judge the advanced oral rounds and attend the Gala Awards Reception at Gotham Hall on March 2. This year’s hypothetical addresses §§ 365(c)(1) and 1129(a)(10) as tied together by a compelling business bankruptcy fact pattern. The hypothetical can be viewed here.

The Duberstein Competition is looking for volunteers to serve as judges on Sunday morning, March 1, at St. John’s University’s Queens campus. CLE credit is available, and the commitment is only for one half-day (unless you are interested in participating in multiple sessions). To register to serve as a judge for one or more sessions of the preliminary rounds, please complete this Preliminary Judge Form.

If you have any questions about the Duberstein Competition or serving as a preliminary round judge, please do not hesitate to contact Paul R. Hage, co-director of the Duberstein Competition, at (248) 840-9079 or [email protected].

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New on ABI’s Bankruptcy Blog Exchange: Banks Walk Fine Line in Preparing for a Coronavirus Outbreak in U.S.

As the COVID-19 virus spreads globally, many U.S. financial institutions are said to be taking steps to protect employees and minimize disruption. But only a handful are sharing specifics, to avoid contributing to any public panic.

To read more on this blog and all others on the ABI Blog Exchange, please click here.

 
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Coronavirus Fallout Poses Challenges for Most Vulnerable U.S. Retailers

ABI Bankruptcy Brief

March 5, 2020

 
ABI Bankruptcy Brief
 
 
 
 
NEWS AND ANALYSIS

Coronavirus Fallout Poses Challenges for Most Vulnerable U.S. Retailers

Lenders and analysts say that the weakest U.S. retailers will face the biggest risks from the coronavirus epidemic if Chinese factories overseas remain understaffed and customers at home stay away from brick-and-mortar stores, the Wall Street Journal reported. Luxury chain Neiman Marcus Group Ltd., fabric and craft supplies chain Jo-Ann Stores Inc., and apparel seller J.Crew Group Inc. are among the junk-rated retailers that are exposed to the potential fallout from the coronavirus outbreak, they said. China’s efforts to contain the epidemic have weighed on its manufacturing sector as small private factories and larger state-owned facilities endure extended shutdowns. U.S. retailers have varied exposure to the manufacturing contraction, depending on how much of their inventory comes from China or other affected regions. Economists say that it is too soon to know how much the virus might affect consumer spending but that it could upend supply chains and cause some product shortages, especially as retailers run out of Chinese-made goods already stocked in warehouses. The biggest risk facing weaker retailers is a possible pullback in demand as the virus spreads in the U.S., spooking consumers, said Moody’s Investors Service managing director Mickey Chadha. But if production in China doesn’t return to normal levels by late April, U.S. retailers also could face challenges stocking up in time for the back-to-school and holiday shopping seasons, said Thomas O’Connor, a senior director and research analyst for supply chains at Gartner Inc. (Subscription required.)

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IATA: Global Airlines Could Suffer Up to $113 Billion in Lost Revenue Due to Coronavirus Crisis

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) said in an updated analysis that passenger airline business could suffer losses between $63 billion and $113 billion because of the novel coronavirus, depending on the severity and length of the outbreak, the Washington Post reported. Alexandre de Juniac, IATA’s director general and CEO, said that the outbreak amounts to a “crisis” for the industry. The IATA had published on Feb. 20 an estimate that lost revenue would hit $29.3 billion, but that was based on a scenario confining the fallout to markets associated with China. “Since that time, the virus has spread to over 80 countries and forward bookings have been severely impacted on routes beyond China,” the industry body said. Airlines around the world have begun canceling flights due to lower demand and complicated travel restrictions amid the coronavirus outbreak, with airlines outside Asia suffering amid a global pullback. IATA said the range of its newest estimate was based on different scenarios, with the lower estimate reflecting the costs if the coronavirus is contained in current markets with over 100 cases as of March 2, and the higher end if the outbreak spreads further. The analysis noted that financial markets were already pricing in a shock to industry revenue greater than its worst prediction, with airline share prices falling nearly 25 percent since the outbreak began. Although falling oil prices may help airlines offset some of the cost, IATA suggested the industry would need government help.



In Restaurant Glut, Strategic Buyers Keep Bankrupt Chains Afloat

Decreased foot traffic, competitive marketing strategies and rising debt loads have choked the restaurant industry and led to a flurry of bankruptcy filings — but strategic buyers haven’t shied away from chains in distressed situations, Bloomberg News reported. Strategic buyers, usually restaurant groups that already own other brands, often get a good deal when purchasing a failing chain because they have existing operations like restaurant management to run additional locations. Private-equity firms, on the other hand, often have to carry that overhead themselves, meaning the risk is higher and the reasoning behind the purchase has to be stronger, said David Bagley, managing director at Carl Marks Advisors. At one time, private-equity firms including NRD Capital Management LLC, Sun Capital Partners Inc. and TriArtisan Capital Advisors LLC put a lot of capital into the restaurant space, buying brands including Ruby Tuesday, Boston Market and TGI Friday’s, respectively. The level of private-equity investment in restaurants, however, fell to $4.75 billion in 2019 compared to a decade high of $18.29 billion in 2017, according to data from Pitchbook. Private equity used to make money on restaurants by using high levels of capital to increase the number of locations, expanding brand presence and driving additional revenue, Bagley said. That old strategy doesn’t make sense anymore because there’s so much additional restaurant square footage while foot traffic is shrinking, he said. One of the major struggles for restaurant brands recently has been driving customer traffic in an environment where a few chains — those with strong investment in food innovation and marketing — are top-of-mind for the restaurant-goers.

Fifth Third Latest Bank in CFPB Crosshairs over Phony Accounts

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau is continuing its crackdown on banks opening unauthorized accounts after Wells Fargo's phony-accounts scandal prompted the agency to investigate aggressive sales tactics at other institutions, American Banker reported. The latest institution in the bureau's crosshairs is Fifth Third Bancorp, which disclosed in a securities filing this week that the CFPB intends to file an enforcement action related to “alleged unauthorized account openings” at the Cincinnati-based bank. Last year, the CFPB began investigating whether Bank of America also violated federal law by opening credit card accounts without customer authorization. The $169 billion-asset bank says it plans to fight the action brought by the agency. Further details about the CFPB's allegations are unclear. Fifth Third spokeswoman Laura Trujillo said the bank will “fully cooperate with any regulatory and government inquiries,” but she would not say what types of accounts are under investigation by the CFPB.

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New on ABI’s Bankruptcy Blog Exchange: The Solvent Debtor and Post-Petition Interest on Unsecured Claims

It’s a rare thing, but it happens: A profoundly insolvent debtor files bankruptcy, only to become solvent thereafter and able to pay all debts in full. Read a recent blog post discussing this infrequent phenomenon.

To read more on this blog and all others on the ABI Blog Exchange, please click here.

 
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The Coronavirus and Its Likely Impact on the Bankruptcy World: Eight Predictions from Two Restructuring Professionals

ABI Bankruptcy Brief

March 12, 2020

 
ABI Bankruptcy Brief
 
 
 
 
NEWS AND ANALYSIS

The Coronavirus and Its Likely Impact on the Bankruptcy World: Eight Predictions from Two Restructuring Professionals

The coronavirus known as COVID-19 was unheard of in the U.S. a scant six or seven weeks ago, according to a special analysis written by Thomas J. Salerno of Stinson, LLP (Phoenix) and G. Neil Elsey of Avion Holdings, LLC (Scottsdale, Ariz.). Today, it dominates the world press, politics and polite (and less-than-polite) conversation, and is rapidly altering the way we work, play and interact — even the way we greet one another (with “elbow bumps” being an oddly acceptable way to greet a counterpart in a business setting). Our personal and professional routines are now materially impacted. Just this week, the American College of Bankruptcy announced the cancellation of its induction ceremonies in Washington, D.C., with scores of similar events being postponed or cancelled outright. Entire offices and schools are being closed. An entire country has imposed movement restrictions over its citizens (Italy’s 60 million inhabitants), with large numbers of other countries implementing wide-ranging gathering-place, travel and work restrictions. The coronavirus’s impact on capital markets, supply-chain disruption, hospitality and transportation is already seismic and being compared with the “economic shockwave” akin to the 9/11 economic ramifications. Salerno and Elsey proffer eight predictions as to how COVID-19 will alter the restructuring landscape in both the near term (and possibly longer). Click here to read the full analysis.

Coronavirus May Light Fuse on ‘Unexploded Bomb’ of Corporate Debt

A surge of risky borrowing by companies around the world leaves the global economy especially exposed to the potential costs of the outbreak, the New York Times reported. For years, analysts have warned that corporations around the planet were developing a dangerous addiction to debt. Interest rates were so low that borrowing money was essentially free, enticing companies to avail themselves with abandon. As the coronavirus outbreak spreads, halting factories from China to Italy, sending stock markets plunging and prompting fears of a worldwide recession, historic levels of corporate debt threaten to intensify the economic damage. Companies facing grave debt burdens may be forced to cut costs, laying off workers and scrapping investments, as they seek to avoid default. “We have been always saying that we are sitting on top of an unexploded bomb, but we don’t know what is going to trigger it,” said Emre Tiftik, director of Research for Global Policy Initiatives at the Institute of International Finance, a Washington-based financial industry trade group. “Can the coronavirus be a trigger? We don’t know. Maybe.” By the end of 2019, total outstanding debt among corporations other than financial institutions had surged to a record $13.5 trillion worldwide, according to a recent report by Serdar Çelik and Mats Isaksson for the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, the Paris-based research institution. That number has swelled as many companies have sold riskier bonds to finance expansions.



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European Travel Ban Delivers Another Blow to a Hobbled Airline Industry

Airline stocks tumbled today after President Trump prohibited most travelers from 26 European countries from visiting the U.S. for 30 days, the New York Times reported. Already reeling from a steep decline in bookings because of the coronavirus outbreak, the airlines now stand to lose millions of dollars in revenue from a halt to trans-Atlantic flights, which account for a big chunk of their international business. “Suspending travel on such a broad scale will create negative consequences across the economy,” said Alexandre de Juniac, the chief executive of the International Air Transport Association, an industry group. “Governments must recognize this and be ready to support” the industry. According to the association, about 200,000 flights carried passengers between the U.S. and 26 countries targeted in Trump’s order last year, averaging about 550 flights carrying 125,000 travelers per day. Over the next four weeks, the ban will affect more than 6,700 flights in each direction, according to an analysis by OAG, an aviation data provider.

Fed to Inject $1.5 Trillion in Bid to Prevent ‘Unusual Disruptions’ in Markets

The Federal Reserve said it would inject more than $1.5 trillion of temporary liquidity into Wall Street today and Friday to prevent ominous trading conditions from creating a sharper economic contraction, the Wall Street Journal reported. “These changes are being made to address highly unusual disruptions in Treasury financing markets associated with the coronavirus outbreak,” the New York Fed said in a statement today. The Fed said that it had made the changes for short-term funding markets following instructions from Chairman Jerome Powell, who was in consultation with the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee. The moves suggest the Fed is shifting toward implementing the type of long-term asset purchases it deployed during and after the 2008 financial crisis, first to restore market functioning and later to spur a faster recovery in employment and output. (Subscription required.)

U.S. Experiences First Layoffs as a Result of the Coronavirus

The coronavirus outbreak is taking a deep toll on the U.S. economy, prompting hundreds of layoffs over the past week alone and halting a historic 11-year bull market in stocks, the Washington Post reported. Airlines, hotels, travel agencies and event companies have all been suffering, but interviews with more than two dozen firms and workers reveal that the pain is now translating into layoffs in a wider circle of industries, including a bakery and a chain restaurant. At the Port of Los Angeles, 145 drivers have been laid off and others have been sent home without pay as massive ships from China stopped arriving and work dried up. At travel agencies in Atlanta and Los Angeles, several workers lost their jobs as bookings evaporated. Christie Lites, a stage-lighting company in Orlando, laid off more than 100 of its 500 workers nationwide this past week and likely will lay off 150 more, according to chief executive Huntly Christie. Meanwhile a hotel in Seattle is closing an entire department, a former employee said, and as many as 50 people lost their jobs after the South by Southwest festival in Austin got canceled.

Consumer Financial Protection Bureau Proposes Whistleblower Award Program

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau proposed a whistleblower program that would award tipsters who voluntarily provide original information on possible violations of consumer financial laws, the Wall Street Journal reported. The agency, which was created to protect consumers from abusive financial services practices, said on March 6 that it has submitted the proposal to the U.S. Congress and that the proposed program would incentivize employees to report wrongdoing, especially those related to fair-lending practices. We also want to incentivize whistleblowers to contact us if they believe their employer is not complying with the law,” Kathleen Kraninger, director of CFPB, said in a statement. The proposal would amend a provision of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2010, which created the bureau, and provide the authority to establish the whistleblower program. Under the proposed rules, tipsters who voluntarily provide information to the bureau are entitled to between 10% and 30% of monetary penalties if their tips result in an administrative proceeding or court action brought by the bureau and when the monetary penalties are more than $1 million. (Subscription required.)

Four New ABI Books Are Available for Purchase!
February has been a very busy month for ABI publications: There are four new books coming out!
 
Two recent “40 Under 40” honorees have edited new digital editions of our annual “Best of ABI” books. Charissa Potts (Freedom Law, PC) edited The Best of ABI 2019: The Year in Consumer Bankruptcy, which focuses on such timely topics as student loan discharge, chapter 7 practice trends and ethical dilemmas faced by consumer practitioners, and chapter 13 plan confirmation and discharge issues, among other topics. Lindsi Weber (Polsinelli) edited The Best of ABI 2019: The Year in Business Bankruptcy, which covers the new Small Business Reorganization Act, health care, international issues, intellectual property, KERPs, chapter 11 and make-whole issues, executory contracts, and emerging trends such as artificial intelligence, as well as other topics. 
 
Thomas J. Salerno, along with a team of writers from Stinson LLP, has updated Pre-Bankruptcy Planning for the Commercial Reorganization. As the authors note in this third edition of the popular title, “Pre-bankruptcy planning for the commercial chapter 11 reorganization can be broken down conceptually into four distinct (although interrelated) categories, which are set forth in no particular order of priority: (1) preparation of management, key employees and exit strategy; (2) business preparation; (3) legal preparation; and (4) tax preparation.” This update is an invaluable guide for CFOs, General Counsel, and tax advisors, as well as, of course, for practitioners who represent them in going through a reorganization.
 
Finally, Susan N.K. Gummow (Foran Glennon) has updated the Bankruptcy and Insurance Law Manual. The fourth edition has been updated to include the latest issues confronting bankruptcy and insurance jurisprudence, including jurisdictional issues in light of the Supreme Court’s decision in Stern v. Marshall, the rise of sexual abuse-related mass tort bankruptcy proceedings in the aftermath of state-enacted “window” legislation, and the use of the Bankruptcy Code to effectuate a policy buy-back as an efficient means of resolving insured/insurer disputes. The Manual also updates and clarifies key insurance and bankruptcy concepts, such as the binding nature of proof-of-claim litigation, the rights and obligations under an insurance policy containing a self-insured retention where the insured is bankrupt, and the function and role of the creditors’ committee during an insured’s bankruptcy case.
 
All these titles, along with many other publications relating to all aspects of bankruptcy and insolvency, are available at store.abi.org (remember to log in with your ABI credentials to secure member pricing).

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It’s a rare thing, but it happens: A profoundly insolvent debtor files bankruptcy, only to become solvent thereafter and able to pay all debts in full. Read a recent blog post discussing this infrequent phenomenon.

To read more on this blog and all others on the ABI Blog Exchange, please click here.

 
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All Rights Reserved.
66 Canal Center Plaza, Suite 600
Alexandria, VA 22314
 

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